Monday, September 29, 2008

they really said no...

I hope it turns out to be a meaningful defeat, but I doubt it. My congressman voted no, how did yours do? Ron Paul had some good thoughts. So did...Michael Moore. (thanks drudge)

I just can't believe that the house of representative performed exactly as the constitution intended them to. With their finger closely on the pulse of their constituents, because they will get voted out if they ignore the clear will of the people. Now that's an oversimplification, but it was certainly a big factor. Now we get to watch as the fat cats that are about to get paid promise to give congress a cut, and it'll pass. Sigh.

Saturday, September 27, 2008

Debatable

Well that stunk. I was excited and ready to hear from those two, but boy was that a disappointment. Don't get me wrong, I still think either one of them will be miles better than Bush or Clinton, but sheesh. That was like kids bickering on the playground. I said that first. I've been saying that for years. I was there first. I've been there for longer. Blah blah blah. I think part of it is a background in the Senate rather than a governorship, but they both blew it.

So debates are out as a tool to help me pick a candidate. Unless they throw away the moderator and the notes and stick them in the octagon for 90 minutes to talk. Or bring in Colbert to actually make them answer a direct question, or suffer for avoiding them. I hope Sarah vs. Joe will be better, it sure seems like it has the potential.

Scott Adams has been pretty good lately at his blog. He posted two news links today, one and two. Read 'em if you have a few minutes, they're pretty good, dealing with the subject of bias. Apparently most of us have already made up our minds (on everything), and when we are presented with good factual evidence contrary to what we already know to be true, it only reinforces our opinions. We don't even really absorb or process information that doesn't fit into what we already know.

I read these this afternoon, and then listened to some radio commentary driving this evening on NPR even concerning who won the debate. And it was pretty clear that whoever was speaking their opinion of who won had preemptively formed that opinion months ago. Red or blue, both sides sounded ridiculously unobjective in support of "their" candidate. So what is the value in that? I already know that Republicans like McCain and Democrats like Obama, they would commentate in the same way the candidates would "answer" the questions, with preformed rhetoric. This is worthless information.

What concerns me however, is the potential illegitimacy of my own opinion. What if wanted to hear them both sound like a couple of whiny babies so that I could cry about it? I feel like I was trying to be objective but I'm not sure. They both made a limited amount of good points, and I tell myself that I wanted one of them to convince me, but I don't know if I'm buying it. I think I'm happier not taking a side and slamming both of them. And that maybe I secretely wanted that to happen weeks ago. So that's some food for thought.

I wish there was someone/thing trustworthy and objective out there. Oh wait, that's Jesus. Government is important but it's not going to help. I decided that I'm a libertarian socialist.

Saturday, September 20, 2008

laughing all the way to the bank

WaMu reduced the amount you can take out at an ATM from 400 to 100. I think I'm moving to a credit union, probably OnPoint or FirstTech. I took some lettuce out today but I didn't get to opening one yet, gotta ponder where for a bit.

Meanwhile, I'm sure there are numerous groups of Wall Street uppity's sitting in their obsene homes drinking obsene wines yukking it up as they've played chicken with the Fed and won. Their bad debt got bought up by all of us, and the good ole' boy party gets to continue. Sure of few of them are now under Federal control which will put a knot in their undies soon, but right now they don't really care because I'm sure that each of them personally got paid handsomely by some liar's scheme. The big gambit was won. And I say revolution.

Eventually the price of gold will collapse, and then all the crazies will march on Washington and New York and try something nuts because they can't buy a damn loaf of bread for their gold.

But for now I'm almost ready to calm down. I'm actually pretty chill and a voice of reason in real crisis if you can believe that, this didn't get to that point. But there is reason to sound the alarms, taxpayers are footing the bill and the real crisis will be any number of years away. But that was the fail safe point, there are no further lines of defense. And I really don't feel like fundamental lessons regarding greed and corruption were learned by anybody. So I'm still concerned, but I'm not ready to get to buying tuna and Twinkies quite yet. There's still time to get solar panels installed on your roof for a reasonable price, which is good.

Ultimately I feel like God is giving the USA chances to turn from our ways, and we may yet. We're certainly not all bad, but the cup of unrighteousness is filling. I just don't have much confidence in this group to lay down our power. I'm convinced it's the only way to survive.

Thursday, September 18, 2008

and also...

First if anybody reads this thing, please scroll down and read the earlier post first. Please. But I also read this tonight, and it was ridiculously funny.

Then please spam your congressman.

I only have one more week in my first class at Concordia. It's pretty interesting, and I am more and more convinced that in the classroom is where I need to be. Starting a week from monday I start in a tutoring program for middle schoolers here. It's awesome because it shouldn't conflict very much with my job, I'm excited to get to working with some students.

I've made some money SNAFU's of my own lately. I bought a lemon of a car, 88 Civic wagon 4wd. I'd starve if I was in sales, if you can't tell. Also, I got my loan check from Concordia last thursday and got to paying off some bills in addition to burning 1500 on a lemon. Unfortunately in paying one of my cards I forgot that one pays from my business checking account and not the personal where the pile of money was. So that's a 66 dollar fee between the two banks for a NSF. That's more than a little ridiculous, but that's how those bastards get you. Eventually no matter how on top of everything you are you make a mistake that more than wipes out any puny rewards program you might be in. Screw credit and screw cars. I don't want either of them. And I think I'll be better off. I gotta put up with student loans but I ain't buying a house anytime soon. Maybe DR's 100% down plan will come to fruition someday after all. Screw the man, he's just as incompentent as me, and even more greedy.

More bailouts? seriously?

http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/content/article/2008/09/18/AR2008091804200.html?hpid=topnews

Really?

I mean really?

What the hell. I am disgusted and upset. I think I might even try to call Gordon or Ron tomorrow. This cannot be. No more. The market must be allowed to run it's course, or no one will learn. It's time for change, and a 2nd depression would undoubtedly suck in many ways but if we keep trying to put band-aids on it, the collapse is only going to be more violent when it does happen. Take some pain now. Do it for your children. This is ridiculous.

Edit:
Alright, I emailed them both, and I encourage ya'll to do the same:

OK, I'm reading a lot in the news about a mess on Wall Street, and also a lot about the government bailing out companies, injecting money, changing rules and forgiving debt. I beg of you please don't. Let the market run it's course or people will never learn.

I know you guys don't like to let bad things happen on your watch, and I can relate to that. But please, I feel that there are some fundamental things wrong with the system and putting band-aids on the problem and rewarding those that have made mistakes bred of greed is not good for America. We cannot afford it, postponing the lesson will only make it more painful.

I don't pretend to know what will happen either way, but I am legitimately frightened for the future of this country for the first time in my 27 years. I beg you to do anything and everything in your power to prevent the government from covering mistakes that Wall Street has made.

We can recover from anything, lets start that recovery now. This is a chance to close the gap between the rich and the poor, and set everyone's priorities a little straighter. Thank you for listening, please prevent any more bailouts.

Edit 2: and i sent it to Earl too.

Monday, September 15, 2008

Wall Street

The United States is crumbling, and for all ya'll out there that mocked the idea that we would have to accept a gradual voluntary laying down of our power, I think we are now reaping what we've sown by being unable to do just that. Our financial pillars have been propping each other up and the house of cards is beginning to collapse. We will soon no longer be able to afford to have our armed forces in the middle east. And the sooner we realize that day is coming the less painful it will be when it does.

I don't want this country to end, far from it. But I have no sympathy when the greedy fall. I can only check my own greed.

Tuesday, September 9, 2008

My Chevette, King of the Road

Well nobody got my bad LOTR reference, I'm kinda disappointed.

Drudge linked to a pretty decent Camille Paglia opinion on salon.com. She talks herself into Sarah pretty well, though she's definitely still for BO. But it seemed to be a well balanced opinion that I can respect, though my spider sense screams radical liberal feminist from that name.

TMQ today went off on vehicle horsepower as one of the main culprits in excessive gasoline consumption in the United States. One of the highlights: "Simply knocking a third off the horsepower of new U.S. passenger vehicles would, in about a decade -- as efficient new vehicles replace wasteful old ones -- eliminate approximately the amount of oil the United States imports from the Middle East. Yes, it's that simple."

This combined with "Twenty years ago, the average new passenger vehicle sold in the United States had 120 horsepower. For this model year the figure is 230, almost double. There will be no fundamental change in oil import levels until horsepower numbers change." makes a pretty compelling case against horsepower.

Consumers have clearly demanded more HP, I suppose this reason as a main driving factor of oil dependency isn't talked about much because we have no one to blame but ourselves. Nobody wants a gutless vehicle, it makes ya feel kinda weak and flaccid. We all want to be able to commit some road rage if some fool screws up and we feel like it, I know I do. But that's why we're in the situation we're in, and we have the power to get out of it by adjusting our buying habits. So that's my rant today, here's the rest of the section of the TMQ.



Hold Your Horsepower: Gasoline demand has declined slightly since 2005. And a few months ago, Congress enacted the first tightening of vehicle fuel economy rules in two decades; barrel prices of oil are declining. So far, so good. But oil is still well over $100 per barrel, versus about $74 at this time last year, and gasoline still costs nearly a dollar more per gallon than at this time last year. The longer-term picture is bleak. In 1973, America imported 6 million barrels of petroleum daily. Currently it imports more than 13 million barrels each day. Yesterday I heard a radio announcer say, "Now that the gasoline price crunch is over …" Don't make the mistake of thinking for one minute that America's petroleum addiction is even close to fixed.

For cars, SUVs and light trucks, there are two forces at play in oil-addiction trends, but only one is generally recognized. Everybody knows the fad of big vehicles increases petroleum needs -- according to the EPA, the average weight of passenger vehicles has risen 30 percent since 1988, while average MPG is down. The other factor, little acknowledged, is horsepower, which has risen even more sharply than weight. Twenty years ago, the average new passenger vehicle sold in the United States had 120 horsepower. For this model year the figure is 230, almost double. There will be no fundamental change in oil import levels until horsepower numbers change.

Like weight, horsepower depresses fuel economy. Simply knocking a third off the horsepower of new U.S. passenger vehicles would, in about a decade -- as efficient new vehicles replace wasteful old ones -- eliminate approximately the amount of oil the United States imports from the Middle East. Yes, it's that simple. Race cars need lots of horsepower; suburban family cars do not. Excessive horsepower causes the United States to be dependent on Middle East dictatorships, engages military commitments to those dictatorships, drives up the price of oil and pushes down the value of the dollar. Horsepower is also the enabler of road rage -- rapid acceleration allows cutting off, drag racing and sudden lane changes. Road rage entered national consciousness as a problem in the mid-1990s, exactly when the horsepower ratings of new vehicles began to spike.

Yet nearly all auto companies selling in the United States continue to introduce overpowered cars that require far too much fuel. The problem transcends brands, whether domestic or international. The new BMW 550i sedan has 360 horsepower and records just 18 MPG. Pontiac's new 361-horsepower G8 GT is a small car that gets just 18 MPG. Only in America do small cars waste gasoline. Ford's new Taurus sedan has a 263-horsepower engine which delivers only 22 MPG in its front-wheel-drive variant, an awful 19 MPG in the all-wheel-drive version. The Taurus isn't a sports car, it's a family car! Toyota's new Camry, another family car, offers 263 horsepower and just 22 MPG. The Dodge Avenger, a family car, when ordered with the optional 255-horsepower engine posts just 18 MPG. Infiniti's 320-horsepower FX45, Cadillac's 403-horsepower Escalade and the 500-horsepower Porsche Cayenne Turbo achieve a dreadful 14 MPG. (All mileage figures in this column are the "combined" numbers that blend city and highway driving. Under real-world circumstances, especially stop-and-go commuting, many drivers average well below the official number.) Plus, the more horses, the more greenhouse gases. According to the EPA, a Porsche Cayenne Turbo emits 13.1 tons of greenhouse gases annually. Check any car's MPG and greenhouse numbers here.

Corvette

AP Photo/Nick Ut

A 1968 Corvette -- which had less muscle than a typical 2008 family car.

Less horsepower would mean better fuel efficiency, diminished petroleum imports and lower carbon emissions but, inevitably, reduced acceleration. Don't buyers crave speed? Most cars are already too fast! Thirty years ago, the average passenger vehicle did zero to 60 MPH in 14 seconds; for 2008, the average is about 8.5 seconds. That new 263-horsepower Ford Taurus family sedan does zero to 60 in 6.5 seconds -- the same acceleration as the 1968 Corvette with the famed 427 big-block V8. The new Camry and Honda's comparable new Accord do zero to 60 in about 7 seconds. Acceleration of this type is not needed for everyday driving; such power is useful mainly for speeding, running lights and cutting others off. Lexus has aired ads boasting that its new IS-F model, with a 416-horsepower engine, does zero to 60 in 4.6 seconds; the new 480-horsepower Nissan GTR is even faster at 3.8 seconds. Both have dismal mileage ratings. Lexus is telling the business media the IS-F is intended for the United States and won't be pushed in the company's home market of Japan. There, the IS-F's road-rage engineering and 10.2 tons of greenhouse gases released annually might be controversial.

In addition to reducing fossil-fuel use, dialing down horsepower would reduce highway deaths. Researcher Michael Sivak of the University of Michigan's Transportation Research Institute has found that highway fatalities dropped sharply earlier this year as gas prices shot up, with highway deaths declining 22 percent in March and 18 percent in April. (Note: You can reach the Transportation Research Institute only by car.) This spectacular decline in deaths, receiving little public notice, came about, Sivak found, mainly when drivers slowed down in order to improve MPG. High-horsepower vehicles encourage speeding, because they make soaring above the speed limit feel effortless. If horsepower were reduced by sensible amounts, there would be less driving 80 MPH in 60 MPH zones, or 50 MPH in 30 MPH zones. Sivak's numbers suggest that if America became sensible about speed, perhaps 8,000 lives per year could be saved. Eight thousand lives per year would represent more Americans saved than if all incidents of drowning were eliminated.

Federal legislation to regulate the horsepower of passenger vehicles, perhaps by establishing a power-to-weight standard, would reduce petroleum consumption, cut greenhouse gas emissions, lower U.S. oil imports, strengthen the dollar, and take some of the road-rage stress out of driving. So what are we waiting for? Whatever your answer, don't reply, "No one can tell me what I can drive." Courts consistently rule that vehicles using public roads may be regulated for public purposes, such as safety and energy efficiency. NASCAR races occur on private property -- there, horsepower is nobody's business. On public roads, horsepower is very much everybody's business. You'd be laughed at if you asserted a "right" to drive a locomotive down the freeway. Where is it written we have the "right" to operate an overpowered car that wastes oil and pollutes the sky?

Jimmie Johnson

AP Photo/Scott k. Brown

NASCAR cars need high horsepower, cars bound for suburban shopping malls do not.

Meanwhile, all the talk lately has been about getting drivers into hypothesized future vehicles that might get excellent mileage, such as plug-in hybrids. Even assuming such cars someday are in showrooms, the payoff is greater for getting people out of low-mileage vehicles right now, because low-mileage vehicles are disproportionate consumers of fuel. Assume an average year of 12,000 miles traveled. The driver who trades in a 15 MPG SUV or high-horsepower car for a 20 MPG standard-engine full-size car would reduce fuel use by 200 gallons. The driver who trades in a 20 MPG full-size car for a 25 MPG midsize would reduce fuel use by 120 gallons. The driver who trades in a 25 MPG midsize for a 30 MPG compact would cut fuel use by 80 gallons. The driver who trades in a 30 MPG compact for a 35 MPH current-technology hybrid would save 60 gallons. And the driver who trades in a 35 MPG current-technology hybrid for a 40 MPG advanced plug-in hybrid would save 40 gallons. By far the best oil-reduction bang for the buck lies in people giving up large SUVs, pickup trucks used for commuting, plus any type of overpowered vehicle, in favor of driving regular cars. The math is presented in detail in this paper by Richard Larrick and Jack Soll of Duke University. This suggests that instead of tax policy being focused on credits for buyers of high-mileage hybrids, and federal subsidies being focused on the development of high-mileage hypothesized future designs, tax policy should reward those who junk SUVs in order to buy regular cars. Tax programs to encourage drivers to junk old high-polluting automobiles were successful, so a junk-your-SUV program might work, too.